Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 2.535752 2.659335 2.788423 2.933814 3.093616 3.264607 3.462341
2025-11-23 2.343576 2.517159 2.706756 2.931056 3.191644 3.488044 3.855470
2025-11-30 2.208764 2.416968 2.652606 2.942940 3.296794 3.722232 4.286104
2025-12-07 2.079056 2.307282 2.572713 2.910450 3.338582 3.878373 4.638411
2025-12-14 1.948912 2.185029 2.465181 2.830367 3.307574 3.932570 4.858361
2025-12-21 1.882126 2.132631 2.436148 2.842171 3.390770 4.141027 5.321513
2025-12-28 1.841075 2.107687 2.437427 2.890127 3.523218 4.429976 5.957026
2026-01-04 1.765180 2.033982 2.370815 2.841107 3.514011 4.508796 6.267911
2026-01-11 1.722523 1.999673 2.352256 2.854351 3.592668 4.727501 6.864340
2026-01-18 1.693002 1.980183 2.351167 2.890319 3.706297 5.014802 7.662997
2026-01-25 1.644317 1.933017 2.309875 2.865314 3.723180 5.141809 8.175414
2026-02-01 1.591799 1.878477 2.255682 2.817669 3.699497 5.193933 8.539055
2026-02-08 1.536651 1.821535 2.199881 2.770815 3.683848 5.278327 9.061775
2026-02-15 1.495911 1.782693 2.167808 2.757989 3.724048 5.476209 9.969397
2026-02-22 1.463647 1.754021 2.148566 2.763273 3.795426 5.749110 11.251238
2026-03-01 1.422461 1.711424 2.107346 2.731584 3.799472 5.886958 12.227762
2026-03-08 1.371914 1.654110 2.042497 2.658810 3.723960 5.843854 12.574604
2026-03-15 1.348580 1.633744 2.030215 2.668652 3.798347 6.144286 14.469899
2026-03-22 1.335800 1.627501 2.038028 2.711013 3.937234 6.627213 17.832362
2026-03-29 1.300659 1.588344 1.995231 2.667162 3.906541 6.690411 19.201493
2026-04-05 1.282144 1.572216 1.986147 2.678869 3.985660 7.054846 23.199222
2026-04-12 1.269799 1.564402 1.989097 2.710845 4.108935 7.576834 30.418457
2026-04-19 1.244801 1.537453 1.961643 2.688559 4.117334 7.773186 35.728232